View Poll Results: Will quantum computing disrupt current public key encryption systems by 2030?

7. You may not vote on this poll
  • Yes, I think that is very likely to happen by 2030.

    3 42.86%
  • Maybe, I think there is a good chance, but also believe it could be longer until quantum computers up to that task exist.

    1 14.29%
  • Unlikely, I think it is unlikely that quantum computers up to that task will exist by 2030.

    2 28.57%
  • Very Unlikely, I am skeptical that quantum computers with that capability will ever exist.

    0 0%
  • I have absolutely no idea.

    1 14.29%
Results 1 to 7 of 7
  1. #1
    MichaelCorfman's Avatar
    MichaelCorfman is offline GPWA Executive Director
    Join Date
    June 2004
    Newton, MA
    Thanked 4,670 Times in 1,557 Posts

    Question Will quantum computing disrupt current public key encryption systems by 2030?

    From time to time I have wondered whether quantum computers will be created that will break current encryption systems ever, or anytime soon. Most recently, with the current crash of bitcoin to below USD $4,000, I've noticed some renewed activity in a poll I started a year and a half ago here: What are the odds bitcoins will be worth nothing in 2030?.

    In that post I raised the quantum computing question as follows:

    Quote Originally Posted by MichaelCorfman View Post
    I, for one, have wondered about the future of public key encryption systems, which play a central role in modern security, and in bitcoins and every other cryptocurrency. What happens, for example, if quantum computers become reality, and if they really can easily solve the the integer factorization problem whose current difficulty of solution is the foundation of bitcoin?
    I decided to research the quantum computing question a little more. In the process I found an interesting article on the topic:

    Quantum Computing and Cryptography.

    So, for this week's poll I ask what you think is the liklihood that quantum computing will disrupt current public key encryption systems by the year 2030?

    Besides voting in the poll, share your longer-terms view about whether quantum computing will eventually disrupt current encryption systems, and whether cryptographic technology will evolve in a way that successfully counters any inroads by through quantum computing.

    GPWA Executive Director, Casino City CEO, Friend to the Village Idiot

    Resources for Affiliates:,,

  2. The Following User Says Thank You to MichaelCorfman For This Useful Post:

    vtyunby65 (28 November 2018)

  3. #2
    Synthetic's Avatar
    Synthetic is offline Private Member
    Join Date
    March 2017
    London, UK
    Thanked 16 Times in 10 Posts


    China already have quantum computers and its not a secret that they have sent the one in the space with they space rocket program... So 2030 is even later. It's already in action but still not used so global for many reasons!

  4. #3
    vtyunby65's Avatar
    vtyunby65 is offline Private Member
    Join Date
    May 2014
    Thanked 1,975 Times in 1,339 Posts


    Yes, I believe it will. I saw this one on the news just the other day in which they said that this was very likely to happen by the year 2030 and the Chinese spoke at length about the subject.

    China is currently expanding on its quantum communications network.

    Here's the link regarding that:
    Last edited by vtyunby65; 28 November 2018 at 12:42 pm.

  5. #4
    universal4's Avatar
    universal4 is offline Forum Administrator
    Join Date
    July 2003
    Sinking Faster, just when I thought it couldn't get worse it did!
    Thanked 6,865 Times in 4,384 Posts


    I am not sure the entire direction quantum computing will go, but I would rather see it used more for medical research then used at the defense department. Which sector do you think will earn more funding whether secretly or not.

    As for the encryption systems being disrupted, I certainly think that will happen. It is a challenge, and I don't think there has been a computing challenge yet, that has not been either conquered, or at least is being attempted, which almost always translates to a matter of time.


  6. #5
    DaftDog's Avatar
    DaftDog is offline Private Member
    Join Date
    October 2008
    Thanked 505 Times in 287 Posts


    I believe that large scale functional quantum computing will be a reality a lot sooner than later, however it will be many decades before you'll have a quantum laptop or pc at home.

    With regard to cryptography I believe that current formats may be easily cracked by a quantum computer but cryptography will evolve to meet this challenge. Totally secure communication will finally become a reality too.

    Read SlotsZAR reviews for the best rated South African online casinos and the latest video slot game releases. See their Top Ten Casino section for a concise list of recommended online casinos. Players can also find out more about free spins, and no deposit required bonus offers. Visit the SlotsZAR casino guide section for interesting articles on how to improve your casino gaming knowledge.

  7. The Following User Says Thank You to DaftDog For This Useful Post:

    AussieDave (29 November 2018)

  8. #6
    eenzoo's Avatar
    eenzoo is offline Private Member
    Join Date
    November 2014
    Thanked 736 Times in 449 Posts


    Quantum what ...?

  9. #7
    AussieDave's Avatar
    AussieDave is online now Public Member
    Join Date
    November 2005
    from the land downunder
    Blog Entries
    Thanked 1,055 Times in 621 Posts


    @Micheal - interesting article, thanks for posting. However, at a tad after 7am, it's too early to try and absorb it. I'll give it a try later on!
    Do the right thing, even when no one is looking. It's called integrity.
    Quote: SlyCin56 - GPWA 2001 founder -
    Gamblers don't stop gambling on the weekends; Casino Mgmt. & Financial staff shouldn't stop working.

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts