The Fix Is In... Again! APCW Perspectives for 22 January, 2016

[Integrity]

Another match fixing scandal has been exposed,
meaning more bad publicity for the gaming industry.
Also, an online gaming fugitive surrenders in New York.

WATCH ON YOUTUBE



Fugitive Surrenders: http://www.igamingbusiness.com/news/...eads-guilty-us
PokerStars App: http://www.igamingbusiness.com/news/...on-fire-tv-app
PartyPoker App: http://www.igamingbusiness.com/news/...dows-phone-app
Match Fixing: http://www.igamingbusiness.com/news/...-fixing-tennis
Pennsylvania: http://triblive.com/aande/gambling/9...#axzz3xhsscnt2

[TheGooner]

Once again - thanks for the informative update

PROMOTING APPS :
Indeed, I'd also be keen to hear from ANYONE who has experience with promoting Web Apps and how tracking works.

My impression was that there is ZERO tracking back to an affiliate with these things - this is the main area that worries me about the future of affiliate marketing.

If the future of internet consumption is heavily mobile and expectation of online gambling is via apps from apple store / google store, then the middleman (affiliate) is cut out unless there is some sort of tracking to the app download..

Any operators, affiliates, or web-techs with knowledge out there?

TENNIS MATCH FIXING :
I'm yet to be convinced that the reality matches the headlines.

Players in the top 50? OVer the last 10 years? Really?
But no names given - no prosecutions ever attempted?

Something doesn't fit here.

[Integrity]

Once again - thanks for the informative update

You guys are always welcome

Players in the top 50? OVer the last 10 years? Really?
But no names given - no prosecutions ever attempted?

Two names were given: Nikolay Davydenko and Martin Vassallo Arguell. I don't recognize either one, though...

[TheGooner]

BREAKING NEWS : http://www.stuff.co.nz/sport/tennis/...n-open--report

A prominent sports gambling website suspended betting for a mixed doubles match at the Australian Open on Sunday, raising concerns of match fixing.

Ahead of a match between Lara Arruabarrena and David Marrero against Andrea Hlavackova and Lukasz Kubot, large amounts of money poured in on the contest, Marco Blume, head of sportsbook at the website, Pinnacle Sports, one of the largest and most influential betting websites in the world, told the New York Times.

Most of the money went on Hlavackova and Kubot, which he said was an indication that the match might be fixed.

Hlavackova and Kubot won 6-0, 6-3, with the first set lasting just 20 minutes.

[Miles_FTA]

Its happening everywhere these days so why not tennis ..

[TheGooner]

Reading more detail now ...

Source : NY Times :
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/25/sp...s-betting.html

THE SMOKING GUN
Betting on the match was around $25,000 at Betfair - most mixed doubles match get less than $1,000.

The man of the losing side David Marrero played badly, very badly.
Marrero also said afterwards that he has problems playing against women - not hitting too hard.

THE FIX IS IN ?
This all had and it had the smell of a fix ...
But given recent publicity that would be stupid, especially for such a relatively small amount of betting activity.

OR MAY BE ITS NOTHING ..
It appears that Marrero had hurt his knee beforehand and anyone watching his practice 12 hours before would have known it.
Several trainers and tournament support staff knew of his injury prior to the start of the match.

Also his mixed doubles record is 7-21. Sounds bad - but it's worse - just 7 wins in 21 tournaments. He loses a lot.
He's not into this format, and just plays for the first round loser money which is still about $5K in Grand Slam tournaments.

WHY PLAY WHEN INJURED?
Marrero and his playing partner played and completed the match in order to get paid.
If they had pulled out or retired in the first round then they would not have received ANY prize money.

(This rule was brought in a while back to prevent mass withdrawals and faked injuries you MUST complete the first round match)

CONCLUSION :
I doubt it was "fixed" - but the player clearly doesn't care about playing "mixed doubles" and is in it for the easy cash.

He's a regular entrant - rarely wins - but it helps to pay the hotel bills, taxi rides, meals and airfares.
This is part-and-parcel of being a journeyman tennis professional.

He hurt his knee beforehand, but had to play to pick up the losing prizemoney, so did.
Someone found out and betting sharps took advantage of some bookmakers lack of knowledge of the injury.

[DanHorvat]

Thanks for the quality info, Paul. I fully agree with your analysis and with the conclusion. You did a much better job than the so-called journalists.