Most of crypto transactions nowadays are between exchanges=VASPs. So they will know very fast which transactions are NOT between VASPs.
Any transaction that will be coming out of the system (from your wallet or from affiliate program) will be much more suspicious, because there will be no "travel rule information" attached. The exchanges or banks have limited sources for KYC/AML, but if they can focus let's say on 5-10% of transactions (all including proprietary wallets), then it is not good. Only matter of time when all will be flagged and you will have to explain just like in a normal bank.
Another issue is where will the programs take their coins. I think that even now they rather buy at exchanges than use the funds of their customers. But then the money will be flagged. If they use their own wallets, the money will be flagged as well and blockchain analysis will show very suspicious movements, where hundreds or more smaller depositors put money to some central wallet from where we are paid from.
I think this was inevitable. Crypto will split to the black and white part. The grey will be diminished. We will be the black.
How exactly will this affect things is not possible to say, but something is happening.
If you talk to God, you are praying; If God talks to you, you have schizophrenia.