How much can I make with affiliate programs with a forum with 200k traffic

[Gignius]

I own a car forum in the Philippines with 200k traffic a month
We had an casino ad pay us and they told us they got 6 signups a day
I'm wondering how much I can make with casino or Sportsbook affiliate programs that pay % of referred revenue

[TheGooner]

So you want to know how much an unspecified % of unknown revenue is worth?
I guess you can see there is no easy answer.

It really depends on how much you Philippine visitors are depositing and losing.
If you think that they might each deposit (and lose) $100 per day - then you might get 30% of $600 or $180 per day.

If you think that they don't deposit much at all - then you'll get 30% of not much at all.

[Adam Axelsson]

There are plenty of factors that goes into this, i'll try to list a few of them, in no particular order:
1. As you're probably aware of, the socioeconomic nature and GDP (The income approach sums the incomes generated by production) of a country.
2. The markets gambling sentiment, is it a country where gambling is more or less popular
3. The ease of operation in any particular market, basically what determines the conversion rate (how's the regulations, payment methods (reg to ftd), customer retention operations etc.)
4. Method of marketing, exposure to the right audience. (Basically, we can consider organic search visitors that are actively looking for what you provide as the most valuable traffic, while having an ad on a car forum might be less). This will most likely also reflect the value of the players.
5. The quality of the bonus offer/online casino. (Find the right casino that ticks many of the boxes needed in order to convert someone to a playing customer. This might require a lot of testing between different operators before you find the one that works the best)
6. What deal are you getting? If you are talking about a revenue share deal based on the net revenue generated by the casino, make sure you are aware of the admin fees deducted before the net revenue is calculated. Also be mindful of other terms such as no negative carry over.

So if you know you can average 6 regs daily, lets say that's 180 regs a month. To be generous, we put the CR (reg to ftd) at 25%, if this is not an offer promising free spins or a bonus that doesnt require a deposit. Then it would be way lower.

So at 45 ftds a month, and the average deposit value being most likely lower than $20 in this market (based of some of my own experience in similar markets). And even if we pretend all of them are going to lose their money, and we have no winners that skews the net revenue (as you only make a % on money lost by the players, not on deposit amount alone), and you have 30% revenue share on Net Rev (and if we have an admin fee of 20%, you techinically get 30% of 80%, which is only 24% of $900, you'll make $216/month.

So even if you wish there was a simple answer to this question, before you've tested it yourself or find someone in a very similar situation, this question is very hard to answer.

So i hope this gave you some insights in things to consider

[Malikbhai]

There's no such thing as a stupid question. But this is stupid.

Just sign up at a good Asian affiliate program, say like fun88, 1xbet, 20bet etc., slap up their banners and then watch your own performance.

Whole of Asia is a mixed bag. You can hit a whale once a while that can provide some rock solid income until he or she goes broke. It's a hot growth market. All of Asia is.