Leopold's Gambling Secrets & Roulette System Tricks

[Roulette Zeitung]

Leopold's Gambling Secrets & Roulette System Tricks

SEASON 1 – Even money chances in Roulette

EPISODE 1 – The failure of the D'Alembert progression system

It's the nature of players to use progressions when they start their career. They have no knowledge about the math, standard deviation or the independent existence of fortune and misfortune. Some just want to have some entertainment. Others consider the casino as their enemy. However, without experiences every player acts like a stray bullet on the battlefield. It is uncertain what she/he will do next, like the roulette ball when it spins in the wheel.

After the first weeks, when the player bewails his empty wallet, because the Martingale strategy was a complete disaster, the next step is to adjust the playing style. Like the sun rising at the horizon, in many cases the D'Alembert progression is the next hope. It looks really compelling. When everything is working fine, you will win ½ unit every spin. One believes, this is a money making machine.

How do the D'Alembert work?

Everytime you lose a bet, you increase the bet by 1 unit.
Everytime you win, you decrease the bet by 1 unit.
You can start with 1 unit or higher.

Example:

You are betting on even chances and the wins and losses are - - - + - + - +++

Start with 1 unit and you lose - = -1
Now increase your bet by 1 unit and place 2 units. - = -2 / Total -3
Increase1 unit, bet 3 - = -3 / Total -6
Increase1 unit, bet 4. You win! + = +4 / Total -2
Decrease1 unit, bet 3, You lose! - = -3 / Total -5
Increase, bet 4 + = +4 / Total -1
Decrease, bet 3 - = -3 / Total -4
Increase, bet 4 + = +4 / Total 0
Decrease, bet 3 + = +3 / Total +3
Decrease, bet 2 + = +2 / Total +5

You played 10 spins, 5 losses and 5 wins. The wins and losses are even in total, and as promised, with this progression you win ½ unit every spin if there is an even situation between wins and losses. 10 spins and 5 units profit.

This looks fantastic, and the original system didn't started with 1 unit. You can start with e.g. 5 units and then increase 1 unit after a loss and decrease 1 unit after a win.

For the same - - - + - + - +++ with 5 unit start bet the result is the following:

5 - = -5
6 - = -6 / Total -11
7 - = -7 / Total -18
8 + = +8 / Total -10
7 - = -7 / Total -17
8 + = +8 / Total -9
7 - = -7 / Total -16
8 + = +8 / Total -8
7 + = +7 / Total -1
6 + = +6 / Total +5

You saw it?

The same 5 units profit within 10 spins if everything is even in total.
This is how this system works.

Unfortunately, roulette is not a game of evenness. In 8 out of 10 cases latest after 60 spins some even chances get a big boost for some time while the opposing side falls asleep.

Alembert needs evenness. There is no way around it. If you have to play for 100+ spins to recover your losses from the beginning of the playing session, then Zero will fall again and again and will hurt you bitterly. Because in online casinos in most cases also even bets will be completely terminated when Zero appears, the player needs for every Zero one extra win. That means, an evenness no longer is enough. The wheel must favor him more than expected.

An experiment was done by a German researcher. He started the D'Alembert with 5 units. Look at the 2^nd graphic from the top, the chart, at this website ( http://www.dertrend.com/roulette_systeme_auf_dem_pruefstand.php). Then you know, what can happen to you or your players.

The player from the beginning can't rescue into the winning zone. For almost 700 spins the money balance falls slowly but surely down to -550 units.

Then, without any warning, in free fall speed, the catastrophe take its course.

Within only 150 spins the player loses more than 2,500 units!
150 spins = Only 2 hours in an online casino!
Hello?!
What a break of the self-belief.
And don't forget: The session started with a shrimpy 5 unit bet.
The money balance embodies a -2,800 nightmare.
At the worst point a bet of more than 80 units was necessary.

The spins were taken from a real casino in Germany. This scenario can happen every time at every roulette table in the world. And indeed, many players, who started with the Martingale strategy and moved on with D'Alembert system, experienced this. With good reasons they believe, casinos are a living hell.

Is there a way to improve this luring but so dangerous money mangement?

This will be described in EPISODE 2.

Leopold

[celena]

Many players follow this martingale. Beautiful fall on the second graph.
I think if it works, you have to know how to stop before losing everything.

[allfreechips]

Then I have to wonder just in playing red/ black, is there a bias on the table that would be shown by playing last color won? I.e.. if black hits, play black next, if red, then play red next,,,

would be interesting to see long term effects of that vs all red / black.

[Roulette Zeitung]

"just in playing red/ black, is there a bias on the table that would be shown by playing last color won? I.e.. if black hits, play black next, if red, then play red next,,, would be interesting to see long term effects of that vs all red / black."

I created a graphic to demonstrate the crux of the matter.

There is a reason why - in the long run - no difference can be expected between betting on the last color shown by the wheel or one color all the time.

Look at a series of 3 spins.
For even chances (in this example Red and Black) there are 8 different outcomes within this 3 spins, e.g. BBB, RBB, RBR ...

If you take a series of 30 spins, then you have 10 times a series of 3 spins with all propability laws.
That means, what is valid in 3 spins is also valid in 30 spins, in 300 spins and in the long run.

Here is the graphic.
You see the 8 possible figures within 3 spins of Red and Black and the result of playing last color hit by the ball and playing Black the same time.
The + and - are the results for playing last color shown.
It starts with 3 x Black.



Both results, in total, are 0.
Of course, standard deviation can favor one of the 8 figures for some time, also one color or the system "betting on last color", but in the very long run it's almost even. There is still, also after millions of spins, a deviation of 0,1%, and based on millions of spins this can be huge, huge enough that a player cannot handle this with any money management.

Again: Also 3,000 spins are nothing else than 1,000 x 3 spins with that 8 figures.

When you ask for "bias", then there is a legendary story about a rigged wheel, that was not rigged to the favor of a single number or a small sector in the wheel. No, a even chance, in this case Red, was rigged by accident.

In the real casino in Zappot before WW II over months Red at a specific table was dominant. Not only one month, many months. The climax was a series of Red longer than 30 times in a row.

More than 50 years later researchers found out, that this spectacle was the result of a rigged wheel that happened by accident.
The color used for the red pockets in the wheel have had a different thickness and properties. So the ball rather landed in the red pockets than in the pockets with the black color.

Leopold

[Roulette Zeitung]

Addendum

"is there a bias on the table that would be shown by playing last color won?"

Beginning with this century at least in Germany there was indeed a very popular believe within the even chances community.

It was the even / odd fallacy!

Look at this colored French roulette wheel (http://www.dertrend.com/einfache_chancen/ - 2nd graphic from the top). You see all over the wheel pairs of even and odd. So one believed, that in the long run the rhythm of this even chances pair must be different to the other two pairs. Many systems based on this idea. Computer tests with real spins from e.g. casinos in Wiesbaden, Hamburg or Dortmund showed, that there is not the slightest difference.

Every figure (I mentioned the figures in my prior post) with even and odd in the long run appears as often as the same figures of red and black or high and low.

Only if you have the capability of ball prediction, that you can see after the ball spins for some round in which sector the ball will fall, then indeed you can take advantage of the simple chances' distribution on the wheel.

Look again at the website with the graphic and scroll down to the next. You see two pairs of high and low on the wheel. The numbers 5 and 10 and the numbers 26 and 32 if you ignore Zero.

If a professional can predict that the ball will not land in the upper or lower sector of the wheel, he don't have to play sector numbers. If he can exclude with this prediction that the ball will land near Zero, then betting of low would give him an advantage in the long run and vice versa with the sector around 5 and 10.

Of course, the advantage would be so small, that it can take years to make a huge profit. So the few guys who can predict the sector where the ball is landing more often that math would allow it, are playing in most times one number with 4 neighbors on each side.

So the even / odd pairs on the wheel are a nice thing to talk about. For a strategy this pairs are useless on the contrary to the two small pairs of low / high, where indeed the at least theoretically possiblitly for a working system exists.

Leopold

[celena]

Predicting the numbers is playing with the rollers, They guess the rotation, when the croupier throws the ball,
on the French roulette.
You can play the Thirds, The neighbors of the 0, the Orphans.
Players have a lot of tactics. They play the finals, example 2/5, 4/7 and others. I like roulette a lot.

[Roulette Zeitung]

"Players have a lot of tactics. They play the finals, example 2/5, 4/7 and others."

Many loves to play "Tiers du Cylindre" ("Series 5/8")and let their winnings ride after a win for a couple of spins.

The funny thing: Some of the same people are too afraid to place 10 Euro on a dozen or column, but they have no problem with playing Series 5/8 with 5 Euro each chip. 6 chips have to be placed. So their risk is 30 Euro and not 10 Euro, and the coverage is the same as with a dozen, 12 numbers.

And do not forget: They let the bet and winnings ride.

A dozen or column can hit 13 times in a row and more. The same applies to "Tiers du Cylindre".
So if one has strong nerves and let it ride ...
But you have to be double millionaire before you start.
After using this system for some years you are single millionaire.

Leopold

[celena]

The problem of the roulette, you have to stop when you win.

[PromoteCasino]

I always feel roulette is like that Celena, you have to hit and run play for longer than that and it is a recipe for ruin

[Roulette Zeitung]

+++ Non-Commercial Break +++

Affiliates Special

There are hundreds if not thousands of different casino websites online, opened and cared by affiliates.
It's a normal thing, that as more websites are published, as often the content in general includes the same topics.
So, why not adding some goodies, a reason to get some nice reputation, even if you are not ranked within the first 20 places on Google?

Today I will you give three examples of websites with three different ideas, but you can do that with your own website and with all casino games.

1. The website Roulette30 ( http://www.roulette30.com ) does not only have one of the best English speaking roulette experts in their forum. They also offer a a free ebook, the legendary "The Gambler" by Fyodor Dostoyevsky. The older of us maybe remember this novel based on real experiences. For visitors of this website this is really a "special" that will let them remember the website.

2. The website Der Trend ( http://www.dertrend.com ) offers a very complex ebook with real tricks and tips, special for Roulette system players. Like Roulette30, also this ebook is completely free and available also in modern epub version. So why not creating an ebook with your best articles. You can also add casino advertising into it if you want. The ebooks from 1. and 2. are free of ads but you can create one with ads. If the quality is high, your visitors will download it and it is on their computer for a long time, enough time, that they probably click on something.

3. An Oldie but Goldie! Unfortunately, the website is no longer online, but still exists in the archive ( http://web.archive.org/web/200503141...BJC/Chart.html ). The owner has a wonderful idea more than a decade ago. He offered already 1999 a Black Jack Basic Strategy calculator, based on Java Script, that can be included in every website. If you have such an calculator, and there are many possibilities also for e.g. Poker, then your visitors will return.

So, only 3 examples of many that are possible to go online today. Creating an ebook with your best articles is the fastest way. With Open Office you can create a PDF from every document and Calibre is the perfect software for creating fine ebooks. You can use both software for free.

Or make a video with your voice, quoting famous scenes from casino movies, e.g. from Nicky Santoro if you want.

However, do something, and if it is lawn mowing like I have to to in 2 ½ hours.
It's really hot here today.



Leopold

[Roulette Zeitung]

Black Jack - Advanced Basic Strategy

The house edge at Roulette in online casinos is 2,7%. Here in Central Europe due to the "Ian Speakman case" we have only automatic shuffle machines for Black Jack and no surrender, no hole card, and we can only double up with 9, 10 or 11. If one plays Black Jack correctly, then he can reduce the house edge to round about 0.6% only. This can be done by the so called "Basic Strategy".

Now you might say, that it must be more easier to win at Black Jack than at Roulette because of the smaller house edge, but this is a fallacy. The losing streaks are 8 times longer than at roulette, because of the special rhythm of that game, and you can compare a played hand at Black Jack very well with a bet on Even Chances.

Some say, there is absolutely no chance at Black Jack without card counting, but as in all games of chance, especially in this game, every dealer can be lucky or unlucky, also every single player. There is a pattern and rhythm, based on quantum physics, and if you have a misadventurer at your table, every time, he takes a seat, he changes the complete table luck to the advantage of the dealer, then you can act wisely and stop until he left.

On the contrary to Roulette, where the ball is waiting for your next bet even for years, at Black Jack remaining players continues playing and let the dealer take his favorite start hands in your absence while you are only observing the table.

One important thing to Basic Strategy players:

You can improve the Basic Strategy with three additional rules. Then you play the advanced Basic Strategy.

Advanced Basic Strategy

12 | 2/3

As you might know, when the dealer shows a 2 or 3 and you have 12, then you have to take one card and then stop.

Advanced Basic Strategy: If the dealer shows a 4 and your 12 is composed of a 10 value and a 2, then you also take one card and stop.

---

10 | 16

As you might know, when the dealer has a 7 and higher, you take also a card when you have 16.

Advanced Basic Strategy I: If the dealer has a ten value and your 16 contains a 4 or a 5 (e.g. you have 8, 3, 5), then don't hit a card.

Advanced Basic Strategy II: If the dealer has a ten value and your 16 contains 4 or more different cards (e.g. you have A, 2, K, A, 2), then don't hit a card.

---

Good luck and do not forget: Table change is one of the most essential things in gambling, regardless, which game you are playing.

Leopold

[celena]

Black Jack - Advanced Basic Strategy

The house edge at Roulette in online casinos is 2,7%. Here in Central Europe due to the "Ian Speakman case" we have only automatic shuffle machines for Black Jack and no surrender, no hole card, and we can only double up with 9, 10 or 11. If one plays Black Jack correctly, then he can reduce the house edge to round about 0.6% only. This can be done by the so called "Basic Strategy".

Now you might say, that it must be more easier to win at Black Jack than at Roulette because of the smaller house edge, but this is a fallacy. The losing streaks are 8 times longer than at roulette, because of the special rhythm of that game, and you can compare a played hand at Black Jack very well with a bet on Even Chances.

Some say, there is absolutely no chance at Black Jack without card counting, but as in all games of chance, especially in this game, every dealer can be lucky or unlucky, also every single player. There is a pattern and rhythm, based on quantum physics, and if you have a misadventurer at your table, every time, he takes a seat, he changes the complete table luck to the advantage of the dealer, then you can act wisely and stop until he left.

On the contrary to Roulette, where the ball is waiting for your next bet even for years, at Black Jack remaining players continues playing and let the dealer take his favorite start hands in your absence while you are only observing the table.

One important thing to Basic Strategy players:

You can improve the Basic Strategy with three additional rules. Then you play the advanced Basic Strategy.

Advanced Basic Strategy

12 | 2/3

As you might know, when the dealer shows a 2 or 3 and you have 12, then you have to take one card and then stop.

Advanced Basic Strategy: If the dealer shows a 4 and your 12 is composed of a 10 value and a 2, then you also take one card and stop.

---

10 | 16

As you might know, when the dealer has a 7 and higher, you take also a card when you have 16.

Advanced Basic Strategy I: If the dealer has a ten value and your 16 contains a 4 or a 5 (e.g. you have 8, 3, 5), then don't hit a card.

Advanced Basic Strategy II: If the dealer has a ten value and your 16 contains 4 or more different cards (e.g. you have A, 2, K, A, 2), then don't hit a card.

---

Good luck and do not forget: Table change is one of the most essential things in gambling, regardless, which game you are playing.

Leopold

Thanks for the explanation.

I do not like BlackJack, I do not know why!

[Roulette Zeitung]

"I do not like BlackJack, I do not know why!"

Because there is no other card game, that is more electrified by unexpected turns than Poker, your favorite game.



Leopold

[celena]

"I do not like BlackJack, I do not know why!"

Because there is no other card game, that is more electrified by unexpected turns than Poker, your favorite game.



Leopold

Lol, maybe

[Roulette Zeitung]

Real lifetime roulette probabilities

One can calculate Roulette probabilities over Zillions of spins. As longer you are calculating, as more extreme are the deviations of chance.

But does this make sense?

No, because the lifetime of a player is simply too short to experience every mathematical games of the wheel. What the players need, is an indication for a real scenario in the casino, what really can happen during his lifetime, every day during every single session.

According to a new research by a German source ( http://www.dertrend.com/roulette_wah...ennen_muss.php ) here are the scenarios every player has to face. This are real probabilities for a every day work or entertainment in the casino. Especially people, who are playing any kind of a roulette system, must know, what is usual for Lady Luck.

Here are the results:

Even Chances

Red or Black or any other combination of 18 numbers can hit at any time for 17 - 26 spins in a row. That also means, any even chance can sleep for 17 - 26 spins, or that the colors are changing for 17 - 26 spins. During the lifetime of a player he can have a swing of 1,500 units without progression and without any Zero losses. This is the reason for lifetime losers, because their luck was worst from the beginning, it started with Zero, but continuously his bankroll goes down to -1,500 units, and Lady Luck says, this is pretty normal (and more than the house edge).

Dozen & Columns

A dozen or column or any combination of 12 numbers can hit any time 11 - 13 spins a row or can sleep for 30 - 39 spins.

Line

Any combination of 6 numbers can hit 7 - 8 times in a row or sleep for 60 - 90 spins.

Corner

A 4 number corner sleeps for 90 - 140 spins but can hit on the other side 5 - 7 times in a row.

Street

One can hit a street 4 or 5 times without a loss but must also not be surprised it a 3 number street is like Sleeping Beauty and snores for 110 - 170 spins.

Split

Chasing after a 2 number split is really a thrilling adventure. O.k., 4 or 5 hits in a row a possible, but also expect a losing streak of 170 - 260 spins.

Number

Playing on a single number is the master game. You need a long breath, a big wallet and a little bit insanity to challenge the wheel with one number. The player is ready to make the big cash with the knowledge, that a number can repeat 3 - 5 times. Unfortunately, 300 - 450 spins without his loved number are no rarity.

---

Again: There are of course more extreme incidents for all types of chances, but a strategy player and also an entertainment player has a better foundation, if she/he has knowledge about what can happen during her/his lifetime and not, what can happen in the next 100,000 years.

Leopold

[Roulette Zeitung]

Ultimate Advanced Black Jack Basic Strategy

If one plays against an automatic shuffle machine (common in Europe) or without a card counting system, then the best way is the Basic Strategy.

There are many charts and calculators online, but the audience is bored after some time reading the same charts again and again.

No other game has so a thrilling math than Black Jack. So give your audience something special, the "Ultimate Advanced Black Jack Basic Strategy".

Only a fistful of more rules, but it will improve your mathematical odds.
Works well with 6 or 8 decks.

1. When you have 12 with your first two cards, and it's exactly a 10 (value)+2, then hit also exactly one card, when the dealer shows a 4 and not only at 2 and 3.

2. When you have 16 with your first three cards, and there is included a 4 or 5, then don't hit but stop against a dealer 10 (value).

3. When you have 16 with 4 or more cards, then you also don't hit but stop against a dealer 10 (value).

4. When you have a table with at least 3 other players, and in the last round all cards dealt did not include a 10 (value) or an Ace, then bet in the next round not one but two or three boxes if possible.

5. When an idiot splits his 10 (value) against a 3, 4, 5 or 6, immediately leave the table. In 6 of 10 cases the tendency switches to the favor of the casino at that table, no matter, who is dealing the cards.

6. When a drunk sucker hits his 12 or higher against a 5 or 6, and due to this insane move the dealer don't bust but shows 21, run and never go back to the table as long as this guy is playing there, because he initiates a quantum-mechanical effect, which will make the other players unlucky and the dealer to a widow-maker.

Six rules that will improve your odds.
Also interesting for your readers.
In case, you care about your audience.

Leopold

[Cash Bonus]

I have never been good at playing Black Jack, but these are really great tips for everyone to follow through with, Leopold and their well thought out and explained clearly

[Roulette Zeitung]

The "Dream Catcher" Wheel of Fortune became very popular in the player community.

Due to the fast game and the continuing rotation of the wheel it's very hard for the watcher to know, how many fields are on the wheel to compute the house edge.

Including the two multipliers there are 54 field on the wheel.
23 fields for the 1.
15 for the 2.
7 fields for the 5.
4 for the 10.
2 fields for the 20.
And 1 field for the 40.
The same for the 2x and 7x multiplier.

This means, as higher the field you are betting on, as higher also the house edge.
If you bet on 1, the house edge is more than 4% and is rising with the higher fields.
At the end, betting on 40, the house edge is more than 9%!
So Dream Catcher is more entertainment than serious gambling.

But as always, Lady Luck and the unlimited power of math gives the players unbelievable events, they will still talk about to their grandchildren in 30 years.

Here is the footage of hitting three 7 multipliers in a row.
The odds are 1:157,464, comparable when a specific dozen at roulette hits 11 times in row.
I had myself in a real casino a winning streak of betting and winning 13 times in a row on a dozen. Even if this is a once in lifetime situation, it can happen everywhere in any casino right now!

So with the "Dream Catcher" 7x 7x 7x situation:



Leopold

[Progger]

And this was the last spin from this guy ...

[Cash Bonus]

I have got so much to learn from you, Leopold. You're very knowledgeable about these things. You have to teach me more about your new tips and strategies some day