I am not sure whether you all follow BTC technical development, but it seems Lightning network (LN) is going too be live on mainnet.
In other words it is already possible to send bitcoins via other offchain way than classic way we all know that is called onchain.
It is possible only with specialized wallets on linux so far. You can see the network here: https://lnmainnet.gaben.win/
My team is currently starting to run our 1st node.
If you want something fundamental and not just stupid price speculations, just read about it and be prepared. I think it is safe to say that BTC fate is in LN hands. Either this L2 (layer2) solution succeeds, or another solution like that, or BTC is done in long term.
In short how does it work:
Your wallet will open a channel to some of the nodes (you see them on the link above). The channel opening cost like normal segwit transaction. Then you load some BTC there and you can transact with anybody connected to the LN. Once you want to cash out, you pay again the normal tx fee and channel is closed. It is impossible to steal your money, but it is possible that someone will close your channel, so you pay forcibly the miner fee.
The advantages:
- fast BTC transactions (withing seconds)
- cheap transactions (the nodes will charge fees as well, but they will be probably very very low; it is not like miners, the nodes do not need special hardware and electricity, so there will be a free market)
- no need of centralized points of trust to do offchain transactions (e.g. Coinbase "transfers" bitcoins in-house, which is cheap and great, but not so great for gambling and other grave sins)
The disadvantages:
- need of new or adjusted wallets
- need to have money locked in the channels
- need to pay 2x miners fee
- It is more centralized solution and BTC flows are more trackable
If this works, it is a big news for BTC. Not directly to us directly, because if affiliate programs pay 0.1 or 10 USD per transaction is not a problem for affiliates, who cash out large sums. But for Bitcoin usability it is a great news. We have seen that during last weeks transactions went as high as to 30 USD for transaction with 1 input and 2 outputs. But with more inputs it was possible to see fees in hundreds of USD. And that sadly started to be prohibitive even for (US) gambling. Small and average bettors were losing too high money with BTC transactions. Also other non-gambling BTC users were losing interest because of the economical reasons. Altcoins flourished because of that partially.
Now the situation is maybe changing again. LN has the potential to change everything once again. I am not saying it is the solution that will work and that it is already ready for everyone. Adoption, even if goes well, might take very long time. But LN is working with real money and people start buying some cheap things.
I am not a moderator, but it would be nice if we can keep the discussion civil. If there are a certain bitter people who need to disrupt any thread about cryptos with cr4p like that it is for criminals and so on, I am asking them upfront to stay away. Which does not mean that nobody has to criticize LN from technical or economical standpoint.