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  1. #1
    CoopersPick's Avatar
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    Default Week 7 NFL Picks

    Figured it would be fun to throw in some talk about the NFL football season and some picks for the community here is some of the excerpt below :



    Betting the NFL last season was a chalk bettor’s dream come true. Double-digit road favorites covered like they were playing the Washington Generals every weekend. Seasoned bettors fully expected the books to adjust their opening lines and destroy the public the second half of the season. It never happened.

    This season is different. Underdogs are 54-31-9 through six weeks, and double-digit road spreads on the road are rarer than a millionaire at a Gamblers Anonymous meeting. Eleven out of fourteen games in the NFL were decided by a touchdown or less this past weekend. Six were by a field goal or less.

    Parity is back in the NFL. Adjust your betting card accordingly.
    Underdogs worth wagering this week:

    CAROLINA PANTHERS (+3) vs San Francisco 49ers
    PICK: CAROLINA

    CAROLINA: There’s no sugarcoating Carolina’s early struggles: the Panthers will finish in the cellar of the stellar NFL South this season. Still, getting three points is a gift here. Home team coming off a bye playing a west coast team in an early game always has great value. The good news is that Steve Smith is back this week. The two-headed monster of DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart will keep the Panthers competitive in what will likely be a punt-a-thon decided by field position. Turnovers will be key in this game and having Matt Moore back at QB instead of rookie Jimmy Clausen is a plus in that department.

    for the rest: http://nfl.footballblog.cooperspick....s-his-day.html

  2. #2
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    An interesting selection CoopersPick

    My own spreadsheet power rankings have the Carolina Panthers still as 2 point favourites (despite losing all three home games os far this season).

    So to see the Panthers with +3 stuck out for me too ...

    Of course ... that all might just reflect that my spreadsheet has not yet taken in how badly the Panthers are playing this season ....

    But the sheet is usually within 0.5 pts to 1.5 pts of the actual spread - so this handicap does stick out like a sore thumb ... and San Francisco 49ers have lost all three road games so far this season including a couple of 20+ point hammerings.

    I'll play the Carolina Panthers to win on the ML at +130 - I think it's a nice value bet.

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    And the Carolina Panthers do win 23-20 !!


    I like it when a plan comes together.

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    I am watching the Chargers make mistake after mistake including some of the dumbest ones i have ever seen.

    Cannot wait for the first half to finish otherwise my main bet on tonights games will vaporise

    Good call on Carolina
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    Nicely done.
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    To bad I just saw this post today - I took the 49'ers - ug. Nice pick tho guys!
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